ronb
Yes and just 5 days ago the number of tremors was very low. The graph seems to show a rapid increase that has not peaked yet. Hang on to your hats!
spicyayam
Mark
It's gonna happen folks. Given modern communications and transportation (few motorbikes and no cell phones in 1963), there will hopefully be no loss of life.
Melati
People here call them tremors, I used to call them small earthquakes, since a few days ago, maybe 2 or 3 days ago I have been feeling some of them quite often but very small and really short ones, this morning I have already feel more than 2 and the last one was "stronger" than the last ones, half of my house is made from wood so probably I feel them more than other people around, uhhhhhhhh starting to be scary
tel522
Animals are coming down the mountain now apparently, which also happened in 1963.
https://coconuts.co/bali/news/agung-watch-2017-monkeys-snakes-seen-coming-bali-volcano/
I think our friends around agung and in the east must be concerned by events nearby .Even though the alert level nor the exclusion zone has been increased, the tremors are increasing daily. There are now reportedly over 500 small tremors per day around the volcano, with a few being more forceful. BNPB (Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana) reports that magma flows are now only 5 km below the surface, and are pushing up towards the surface, and that eruption is now very likely. (
link in Indonesian)
Melati
Could happen a volcan eruption at the same time than an earthquake? are these tremors or small earthquakes we are feeling that far from Agung related to what is going on on the volcan or the underground of Agung?
tel522
sorry for your situation , how far are you away from agung ?
Melati
tel522 wrotesorry for your situation , how far are you away from agung ?
Thanks Tel522, not need to feel sorry for me because I am safe in Ubud area, the sorry it is really for the ones who live close by and had to move already.
What worries me is how often I felt the tremors or small earthquakes and how they increase daily and if it is related with the volcan Agung, I guess so, this morning I already felt two
tel522
Agung update in the danger area , around 200,000 evacuated
A. Titik pengungsian Singaraja
1. Pengungsi = 36.900
2. Petugas. = 1846
Jml. = 38.746 org.
B. Titik pengungsian Abang
1. Pengungsi. = 43.968
2. Petugas. = 2.199
Jml = 46.167 org
C Titik pengungsian Manggis
1. Pengungsi. = 50.830
2. Petugas. = 3.042
Jml = 63.872 org
D. Titik Pengungsian Klk
1. Pengungsi. = 42.381
2. Petugas. = 2.119
Jml = 44.500.
*Jml seluruhnya 193.285 org.*
Rayrayzaray
my house is in Jasri @ 30 k away . arrive tomorrow was not to worried until got an email from expat friend in jasri (long , long term resident saying how serious it was and to not even bother heading east . he is leaving to seminyak , that's where ill be staying for at least the first week .
davita
When Mount Agung last blew out in 1963 I'm told the 1700 that died were local residents and was the result of spewing of lava from the crater. The rest of Bali only suffered from the ash. Nearly all residents within the danger area (some 2000) have been evacuated this time.
However....If Krakatoa is an example we could be in for serious New Year fireworks in Bali.....from Wiki....
"While seismic activity around the volcano was intense in the years preceding the cataclysmic 1883 eruption, a series of lesser eruptions began on May 20, 1883. The volcano released huge plumes of steam and ash lasting until late August.
On August 27 a series of four huge explosions almost entirely destroyed the island. The explosions were so violent that they were heard 3,110 km (1,930 mi) away in Perth, Western Australia, and the island of Rodrigues near Mauritius, 4,800 km (3,000 mi) away."
Melati
When Mount Agung last blew out in 1963 I'm told the 1700 that died were local residents and was the result of spewing of lava from the crater. The rest of Bali only suffered from the ash. Nearly all residents within the danger area (some 2000) have been evacuated this time.
However....If Krakatoa is an example we could be in for serious New Year fireworks in Bali.....from Wiki....
"While seismic activity around the volcano was intense in the years preceding the cataclysmic 1883 eruption, a series of lesser eruptions began on May 20, 1883. The volcano released huge plumes of steam and ash lasting until late August.
On August 27 a series of four huge explosions almost entirely destroyed the island. The explosions were so violent that they were heard 3,110 km (1,930 mi) away in Perth, Western Australia, and the island of Rodrigues near Mauritius, 4,800 km (3,000 mi) away."
To read that is quite scary, I guess the island where is Krakatoa is a very small one but still shock to read that line for me
tel522
Agung update evacuations , Amed , Tulamben , Amlapura and surrounding areas 2 days ago, by a midnight knock on the door.
scary times .
Billt4SF
Melati wroteCould happen a volcan eruption at the same time than an earthquake? are these tremors or small earthquakes we are feeling that far from Agung related to what is going on on the volcan or the underground of Agung?
yes. yes. I am also in Ubud but have not felt anything.
- Bill
davita
Re: post #16 by Johnny cool....
Interesting Johnny...were you there....:D
According to Wiki the biggest eruption ever was in Yellowstone park some 2.2 million years ago...sadly I cannot verify 'coz I wasn't there either.
I'm just hoping we all aren't going to be part of a similar history here in Bali soon.
JohnnyCool
Yes, Yellowstone is a biggie. The last time was 600,000 years ago. It’s a sneaky looking thing because there is no visible mountain – all the action is going on underneath.
The other area to watch out for is the Cascadia subduction zone which runs 1,000kms from British Columbia to north California. Some experts reckon it’s overdue to crank up again ‘soon’, others say in the next 50 years. Who knows?
I doubt that Gunung Agung is capable of a Tambora-like event. Hope I’m right.
Nevertheless, if it blows/erupts, it can certainly come up with something ‘memorable’.
;)
spicyayam
Yes, I was expecting more coverage on tv, but there was almost nothing when they raised the warning 2 days ago.
If you look on a map of volcanoes though, basically Indonesia is one long string of volcanoes, so maybe people are just more use to this.
My wife says, unless it is in Java no one cares. How often to do you hear about Mt Sinabung which is also level 4 now.
davita
BBC, CNN and Al Jazeera mention about Mount Agung but not much detail. I wouldn't be surprised if Indonesian TV is asked to tone it down as it is bad for tourism. Some countries have already issued travel advisories.
cheynewalk
I always thought the biggest eruption in "recent times" was lake toba in sumatra some 90,000 years ago ...... according to dna experts it wiped out 90% of the modern human race. But the biggest of all as far as experts can tell was the eruption that created modern day rotorua in new zealand.
Billt4SF
When Mount Agung last blew out in 1963 I'm told the 1700 that died were local residents and was the result of spewing of lava from the crater. The rest of Bali only suffered from the ash. Nearly all residents within the danger area (some 2000) have been evacuated this time.
However....If Krakatoa is an example we could be in for serious New Year fireworks in Bali.....from Wiki....
toa eventcano was intense in the years preceding the cataclysmic 1883 eruption, a series of lesser eruptions began on May 20, 1883. The volcano released huge plumes of steam and ash lasting until late August.
On August 27 a series of four huge explosions almost entirely destroyed the island. The explosions were so violent that they were heard 3,110 km (1,930 mi) away in Perth, Western Australia, and the island of Rodrigues near Mauritius, 4,800 km (3,000 mi) away."
The Krakatoa event was I think the largest recorded volcanic eruption in history, maybe the largest explosion on the planet in recorded history. It was followed by a huge tidal wave and the ash affected sunrises and sunsets worldwide for years...maybe a decade IIRC. It totally destroyed the island that was there -- and created a new one, which as been studied for evolution. There's a wonderful book about it called "Krakatoa" written by Simon Winchester. GREAT READ.
I'll bet anyone $100USD that we will NOT have such an event. Because, of course, I either win, or we are both likely dead.
- Bill
