Bloomberg is reporting that Indonesia will discuss reviving its tax amnesty program next year as President Prabowo Subianto’s government seeks ways to boost state revenue amid growing public pushback over a planned value-added tax hike.
The newly-appointed parliament decided to add a Tax Amnesty Law revision to its list of priority bills for 2025, following a plenary session in Jakarta on Tuesday (19/11/24.) The last amnesty ended in 2022, and any revised law could take effect as soon as next year, according to the chairman of the parliament’s finance commission, Mukhamad Misbakhun.
Lawmakers are looking at the third tax amnesty program in a decade amid protests from lawmakers and the public over plans to hike VAT next year. That rise, from 11 percent to 12 percent, has already been enacted into law, according to Bloomberg.
But higher taxes on goods and services “could further erode domestic buying power, which in turn can slow down economic growth,” Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives Cucun Ahmad Syamsurijal said in a statement on Tuesday. The timing would also be unfavorable because of geopolitical tensions and the potential for energy and food crises that could drive up inflation in 2025, Syamsurijal added.
According to Bloomberg, members of the public have also expressed anger online, with some calling on people to refrain from spending and practice frugal living to protest the planned tax hike. Some business groups have also called for a delay, fearing the rise will further hurt sales and businesses.
The government is faced with the tough task of balancing both its economic and fiscal health next year. Weaker global growth and commodity prices risk reducing tax receipts at a time when the government is also preparing massive spending plans, threatening to breach the budget deficit target of 2.5 percent of gross domestic product for 2025.
On the other hand, domestic consumption, which accounts for more than half of the nation’s GDP, has struggled to grow above 5 percent, holding back the nation’s economic expansion, which decelerated to its slowest pace in a year last quarter. Rampant layoffs in the labor-intensive manufacturing sector also threaten the outlook for domestic spending, says Bloomberg.
A tax amnesty could help build a tax base, Misbakhun said, noting there will be technical discussions with the government on the matter.
If revived, the tax amnesty will be Indonesia’s third such program after 2016 and 2022. In the last round, the government collected IDR 61 trillion (USD 3.9 billion) in revenue, less than half of what was collected in the first round, with many observers having warned that a second amnesty risked reducing tax compliance.
Source: BNN Bloomberg with assistance from Norman Harsono
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